SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Akhmat Grozny win with a probability of 71.49%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 10.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Akhmat Grozny win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 3-0 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Akhmat Grozny would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
71.49% ( 0.08) | 17.81% ( -0.04) | 10.7% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 45.96% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.43% ( 0.07) | 43.56% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.04% ( 0.07) | 65.95% ( -0.08) |
| Akhmat Grozny Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.13% ( 0.04) | 10.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.03% ( 0.09) | 34.97% ( -0.09) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.56% ( -0.03) | 48.44% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.45% ( -0.02) | 83.55% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Akhmat Grozny | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-0 @ 12.96% 1-0 @ 11.67% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.95% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 3.86% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.52% ( 0)5-0 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.4% ( 0)Other @ 3.72% Total : 71.48% | 1-1 @ 8.47% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 3.41% ( -0)Other @ 0.67% Total : 17.81% | 0-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.44% Total : 10.7% |
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