SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dynamo Moscow win with a probability of 49.56%. A win for Khimki had a probability of 26.92% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dynamo Moscow win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Khimki win was 2-1 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dynamo Moscow would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Khimki | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
26.92% ( -0.34) | 23.52% ( -0.01) | 49.56% ( 0.36) |
| Both teams to score 58.47% ( -0.26) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.21% ( -0.21) | 42.79% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.81% ( -0.21) | 65.19% ( 0.22) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( -0.36) | 29.22% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( -0.45) | 65.17% ( 0.46) |
| Dynamo Moscow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.61% ( 0.06) | 17.4% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.18% ( 0.1) | 47.82% ( -0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Khimki | Draw | Dynamo Moscow |
| 2-1 @ 6.73% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 6.25% ( -0)2-0 @ 3.85% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 2.76% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.41% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.58% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.34% Total : 26.92% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.08% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.56% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 8.89% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.77% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 4.53% ( 0.07)2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 2.44% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.88% Total : 49.56% |
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