SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 65.8%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Khimki had a probability of 13.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.3%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Khimki win it was 0-1 (4.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nizhny Novgorod in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Khimki |
65.8% ( 1.82) | 20.39% ( -0.98) | 13.81% ( -0.84) |
| Both teams to score 47.13% ( 0.88) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.79% ( 2.34) | 47.2% ( -2.34) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.56% ( 2.14) | 69.43% ( -2.13) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.49% ( 1.31) | 13.51% ( -1.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.45% ( 2.56) | 40.55% ( -2.55) |
| Khimki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.49% ( 0.2) | 45.51% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.66% ( 0.15) | 81.34% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Khimki |
| 2-0 @ 12.31% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 12.3% ( -0.62)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 8.22% ( 0.36)3-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.32)4-0 @ 4.11% ( 0.36)4-1 @ 3.24% ( 0.3)3-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.14)5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.21)5-1 @ 1.3% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.28% ( 0.13)Other @ 2.67% Total : 65.79% | 1-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.62)2-2 @ 3.82% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.74% Total : 20.39% | 0-1 @ 4.84% ( -0.46) 1-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.15)0-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.17)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.25% Total : 13.81% |
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