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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 40.59%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 33.45% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
33.45% ( -0.02) | 25.96% ( -0.02) | 40.59% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.9% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.6% ( 0.07) | 50.4% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.66% ( 0.06) | 72.34% ( -0.06) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.4% ( 0.02) | 28.59% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.6% ( 0.03) | 64.39% ( -0.03) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.48% ( 0.05) | 24.51% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.02% ( 0.07) | 58.98% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.49% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.29% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.27% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 2.66% Total : 33.45% | 1-1 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.01% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.43% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.96% | 0-1 @ 9.86% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.93% 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.25% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 40.59% |
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