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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dundee United win with a probability of 44.29%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 28.85% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dundee United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (9.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.71%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
44.29% ( 0.2) | 26.86% ( 0.01) | 28.85% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 49.21% ( -0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.45% ( -0.11) | 55.55% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.28% ( -0.09) | 76.72% ( 0.09) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.06% ( 0.05) | 24.94% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.43% ( 0.07) | 59.57% ( -0.07) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.56% ( -0.22) | 34.44% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.85% ( -0.23) | 71.15% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 11.92% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.28% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.18% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 44.28% | 1-1 @ 12.71% 0-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.71% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.85% Total : 26.85% | 0-1 @ 9.16% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.23% Total : 28.85% |
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