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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 40.12%. A win for Dundee United had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Dundee United win was 1-0 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
34.69% ( -0.04) | 25.19% ( -0.01) | 40.12% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 56.82% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.25% ( 0.04) | 46.75% ( -0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.99% ( 0.04) | 69.01% ( -0.04) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% ( -0) | 26.08% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 38.87% ( -0) | 61.13% ( 0) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.87% ( 0.05) | 23.13% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.01% ( 0.06) | 56.99% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dundee United | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 8.11% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.57% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.62% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0)Other @ 3.32% Total : 34.69% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( 0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.83% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.69% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.47% ( 0)1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.16% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.85% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.04% ( 0)Other @ 2.14% Total : 40.12% |
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