SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 54.68%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 21.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
54.68% ( 0.35) | 24.08% ( 0.05) | 21.25% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.38% ( -0.66) | 50.62% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.47% ( -0.59) | 72.53% ( 0.59) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.59% ( -0.12) | 18.41% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.44% ( -0.2) | 49.56% ( 0.2) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.58% ( -0.78) | 38.42% ( 0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.83% ( -0.75) | 75.17% ( 0.75) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.27) 2-0 @ 10.12% ( 0.18)2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 5.71% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.42% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.26% Total : 54.66% | 1-1 @ 11.44% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.07% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.11)Other @ 0.92% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.11)0-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.51% Total : 21.25% |
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