SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 52.86%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Dundee United had a probability of 22.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.86%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.73%), while for a Dundee United win it was 0-1 (7.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
52.86% ( 0.05) | 24.69% ( -0.01) | 22.45% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 49.98% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.24% ( -0.01) | 51.76% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.47% ( -0.01) | 73.53% ( 0.01) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.45% ( 0.02) | 19.54% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.55% ( 0.03) | 51.45% ( -0.03) |
| Dundee United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.12% ( -0.05) | 37.88% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.35% ( -0.05) | 74.65% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Dundee United |
| 1-0 @ 12.08% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.86% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.21% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.53% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.88% Total : 52.86% | 1-1 @ 11.73% 0-0 @ 7.4% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 24.69% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.84% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.5% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 22.45% |
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