SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 13.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.4%), while for a Livingston win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
66.54% ( -0.87) | 19.76% ( 0.45) | 13.7% ( 0.42) |
| Both teams to score 48.83% ( -0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.25% ( -1.05) | 44.75% ( 1.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.89% ( -1.02) | 67.11% ( 1.02) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.46% ( -0.55) | 12.54% ( 0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.41% ( -1.16) | 38.59% ( 1.16) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.84% ( -0.01) | 44.16% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 19.75% ( -0.01) | 80.25% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 11.5% ( 0.28)2-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 8.26% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 4.29% ( -0.18)4-1 @ 3.5% ( -0.15)3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.78% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.09)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.12% Total : 66.54% | 1-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.84% Total : 19.76% | 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 3.84% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.09% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.34% Total : 13.7% |
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