Livingston have recorded three low-scoring draws in their previous three home league games, but Martindale's men should claim all three points this weekend, as Kilmarnock have taken just two points from a possible 36 on the road this season.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 48.84%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 25.15%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.27%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.32%), while for a Kilmarnock win it was 0-1 (8.23%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
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