SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
56.14% ( -0.17) | 22.29% ( -0.03) | 21.57% ( 0.2) |
| Both teams to score 56.44% ( 0.4) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.38% ( 0.39) | 42.62% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.97% ( 0.38) | 65.02% ( -0.38) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.97% ( 0.08) | 15.02% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.49% ( 0.14) | 43.5% ( -0.14) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.41% ( 0.41) | 33.58% ( -0.41) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.77% ( 0.44) | 70.22% ( -0.44) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Livingston |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.14)2-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.73% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.71% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.62% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 2.79% Total : 56.14% | 1-1 @ 10.43% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 0.06)0-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.29% | 1-2 @ 5.69% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.07% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.24% Total : 21.57% |
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