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KL
Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 35
May 13, 2023 at 3pm UK
BBSP Stadium Rugby Park
LL

Kilmarnock
2 - 0
Livingston

Vassell (48'), Armstrong (64' pen.)
Wright (11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Kelly (49'), Holt (64'), de Lucas (89')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

We said: Kilmarnock 1-0 Livingston

Kilmarnock are fighting for their lives at the bottom of the Premiership and will welcome three home matches in their last four as they attempt to stay in the division. Livingston are a team with little to play for, and we envisage another uninspiring performance from the Livi Lions - even if manager Martindale makes a host of changes to his starting XI. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Livingston had a probability of 21.57%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.56%) and 2-0 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.43%), while for a Livingston win it was 1-2 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.

Result
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
56.14% (-0.171 -0.17) 22.29% (-0.029 -0.03) 21.57% (0.201 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.44% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.38% (0.386 0.39)42.62% (-0.385 -0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.97% (0.382 0.38)65.02% (-0.381 -0.38)
Kilmarnock Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.97% (0.075999999999993 0.08)15.02% (-0.075000000000001 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.49% (0.141 0.14)43.5% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Livingston Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.41% (0.40900000000001 0.41)33.58% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.77% (0.444 0.44)70.22% (-0.443 -0.44)
Score Analysis
    Kilmarnock 56.14%
    Livingston 21.57%
    Draw 22.29%
KilmarnockDrawLivingston
2-1 @ 9.89% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.139 -0.14)
2-0 @ 9.06% (-0.108 -0.11)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.012 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.73% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.41% (0.045 0.04)
4-1 @ 2.96% (0.013 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.71% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.62% (0.025 0.03)
5-1 @ 1.12% (0.008 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.03% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.43% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.4% (0.056 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
3-3 @ 1.24% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.69% (0.045 0.04)
0-1 @ 5.51% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-2 @ 3% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.07% (0.039 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.96% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 21.57%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Motherwell 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 0-2 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-4 Celtic
Sunday, April 16 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Aberdeen 2-0 Kilmarnock
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-1 Hearts
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Kilmarnock 1-1 St Johnstone
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Ross County 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, May 6 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Dundee Utd 2-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Motherwell 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: St Mirren 3-0 Livingston
Saturday, April 1 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership
Last Game: Livingston 2-1 Ross County
Saturday, March 18 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership


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