SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 66.6%. A draw had a probability of 19% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 14.39%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.83%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.94%), while for a Ross County win it was 1-2 (4.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Kilmarnock would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
66.6% ( -1.34) | 19.01% ( 0.55) | 14.39% ( 0.79) |
| Both teams to score 53.3% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.19% ( -0.77) | 39.81% ( 0.77) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.81) | 62.16% ( 0.8) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.91% ( -0.56) | 11.09% ( 0.56) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.53% ( -1.24) | 35.47% ( 1.24) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.94% ( 0.63) | 40.06% ( -0.64) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.3% ( 0.58) | 76.7% ( -0.58) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
| 2-0 @ 10.74% ( -0.11) 2-1 @ 9.83% ( 0.07)1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 7.88% ( -0.27)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0.12)4-0 @ 4.33% ( -0.25)4-1 @ 3.96% ( -0.16)3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.91% ( -0.16)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)5-1 @ 1.74% ( -0.11)Other @ 4.13% Total : 66.6% | 1-1 @ 8.94% ( 0.26) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0.11)0-0 @ 4.44% ( 0.16)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.14% Total : 19.01% | 1-2 @ 4.09% ( 0.19) 0-1 @ 4.06% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.86% ( 0.13)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.08)Other @ 1.76% Total : 14.39% |
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