SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 55.13%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Ross County had a probability of 20.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Ross County win it was 0-1 (7.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Kilmarnock in this match.
| Result | ||
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
55.13% ( -0.06) | 24.5% ( 0.03) | 20.36% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 47.77% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( -0.1) | 53.27% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( -0.09) | 74.82% ( 0.08) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.76% ( -0.06) | 19.24% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.05% ( -0.1) | 50.95% ( 0.1) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.14% ( -0.04) | 40.85% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( -0.03) | 77.42% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kilmarnock | Draw | Ross County |
| 1-0 @ 12.95% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.42% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 55.12% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.5% | 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.19% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.23% Total : 20.36% |
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