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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 38.75%. A win for Ross County had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (7.04%). The likeliest Ross County win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
33.87% ( 0.3) | 27.38% ( 0.09) | 38.75% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 49.49% ( -0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.94% ( -0.3) | 56.05% ( 0.3) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.86% ( -0.25) | 77.13% ( 0.25) |
| Ross County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( 0.05) | 31.13% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.54% ( 0.05) | 67.46% ( -0.05) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.87% ( -0.36) | 28.13% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.19% ( -0.46) | 63.81% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ross County | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.13) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.32% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 3% Total : 33.87% | 1-1 @ 12.96% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.22% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 7.04% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.74% |
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