SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KTP win with a probability of 39.71%. A win for Haka had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a KTP win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Haka win was 1-2 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| KTP | Draw | Haka |
39.71% ( -0.04) | 24.79% ( -0.03) | 35.5% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 58.37% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.19% ( 0.15) | 44.81% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.83% ( 0.14) | 67.17% ( -0.14) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.52% ( 0.05) | 22.49% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.96% ( 0.07) | 56.04% ( -0.07) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( 0.11) | 24.7% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( 0.15) | 59.24% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| KTP | Draw | Haka |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-0 @ 8.29% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 6.18% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 3.08% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.61% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.15% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 39.71% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.55% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.4% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.79% | 1-2 @ 8.1% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.78% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.77% Total : 35.5% |
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