SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 37.63%. A win for Haka had a probability of 37% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Haka win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Crusaders in this match.
| Result | ||
| Crusaders | Draw | Haka |
37.63% ( 0.04) | 25.38% ( -0) | 37% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 56.43% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.62% ( 0.02) | 47.37% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.4% ( 0.02) | 69.59% ( -0.02) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( 0.03) | 24.71% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( 0.05) | 59.25% ( -0.05) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( -0.02) | 25.05% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.27% ( -0.02) | 59.73% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Crusaders | Draw | Haka |
| 1-0 @ 8.66% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.37% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.9% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.36% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.99% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.83% Total : 37.63% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.19% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.37% | 0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.29% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.74% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.95% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 1.78% Total : 37% |
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