SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Crusaders had a probability of 32.26% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.91%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Crusaders win was 0-1 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | Crusaders |
42.32% ( 0.09) | 25.42% ( -0.04) | 32.26% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 55.31% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.6% ( 0.14) | 48.4% ( -0.14) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.46% ( 0.12) | 70.53% ( -0.13) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.23% ( 0.1) | 22.77% ( -0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.54% ( 0.15) | 56.46% ( -0.15) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.62% ( 0.03) | 28.37% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.88% ( 0.04) | 64.12% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.91% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 7.07% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.49% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.18% Total : 42.32% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.46% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.42% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.19% 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.71% Total : 32.26% |
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