SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haka win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for KTP had a probability of 32.49% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haka win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (6.89%). The likeliest KTP win was 0-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Haka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Haka | Draw | KTP |
42.53% ( -0.03) | 24.98% ( 0.01) | 32.49% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 56.9% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.62% ( -0.02) | 46.38% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.34% ( -0.02) | 68.66% ( 0.02) |
| Haka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.2% ( -0.03) | 21.8% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.99% ( -0.04) | 55.01% ( 0.04) |
| KTP Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0) | 27.24% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.34% ( 0.01) | 62.66% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haka | Draw | KTP |
| 1-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.96% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.55% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.33% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0)Other @ 2.44% Total : 42.53% | 1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.98% | 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.32% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.53% 0-3 @ 2.18% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 3% Total : 32.49% |
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