SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Avispa Fukuoka win with a probability of 43.87%. A draw had a probability of 28.1% and a win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 27.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an Avispa Fukuoka win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.68%) and 1-2 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.04%), while for a Kyoto Sanga win it was 1-0 (10.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Avispa Fukuoka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
27.99% ( 0.03) | 28.13% ( 0.04) | 43.87% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 45.15% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.52% ( -0.11) | 60.47% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.4% ( -0.09) | 80.59% ( 0.08) |
| Kyoto Sanga Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.21% ( -0.04) | 37.79% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 25.43% ( -0.04) | 74.56% ( 0.03) |
| Avispa Fukuoka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.58% ( -0.09) | 27.41% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.11% ( -0.12) | 62.89% ( 0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Avispa Fukuoka |
| 1-0 @ 10.08% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.06% ( -0)3-0 @ 1.59% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.67% Total : 27.99% | 1-1 @ 13.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.12% | 0-1 @ 13.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.01)1-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.64% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.8% Total : 43.86% |
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