SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ilves win with a probability of 43.84%. A win for Lahti had a probability of 30.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ilves win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.59%). The likeliest Lahti win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ilves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
30.47% ( 0.04) | 25.69% ( -0) | 43.84% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 53.66% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( 0.02) | 50.19% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.85% ( 0.02) | 72.15% ( -0.02) |
| Lahti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( 0.03) | 30.47% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.31% ( 0.04) | 66.68% ( -0.04) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.18% ( -0.01) | 22.81% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.47% ( -0.01) | 56.53% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lahti | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 8.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 7.25% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 2.87% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.94% ( 0)Other @ 3.11% Total : 30.47% | 1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.95% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 10.27% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0)0-2 @ 7.59% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.44% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.64% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.83% |
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