SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Honka win with a probability of 37.84%. A win for Ilves had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Honka win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.11%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Ilves win was 0-1 (10.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Honka would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Honka | Draw | Ilves |
37.84% ( 0.02) | 27.38% ( -0) | 34.77% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 49.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.04% ( 0.01) | 55.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.94% ( 0.01) | 77.06% ( -0.01) |
| Honka Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.38% ( 0.02) | 28.62% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.58% ( 0.03) | 64.42% ( -0.03) |
| Ilves Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.5% ( -0.01) | 30.5% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.29% ( -0.01) | 66.71% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Honka | Draw | Ilves |
| 1-0 @ 10.91% 2-1 @ 8.11% ( 0)2-0 @ 6.83% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.38% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 2.68% Total : 37.83% | 1-1 @ 12.96% 0-0 @ 8.73% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 27.38% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.7% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.05% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.44% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0)1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.26% Total : 34.77% |
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