SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 70.92%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 11.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.56%) and 1-0 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-2 (3.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Larne in this match.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
70.92% ( 2.88) | 17.17% ( -1.05) | 11.91% ( -1.83) |
| Both teams to score 52.57% ( -1.84) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.89% ( 0.39) | 37.1% ( -0.39) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.7% ( 0.42) | 59.3% ( -0.42) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.71% ( 0.79) | 9.29% ( -0.79) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.64% ( 1.84) | 31.36% ( -1.85) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.96% ( -2.56) | 42.04% ( 2.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.53% ( -2.29) | 78.47% ( 2.29) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-0 @ 11.02% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 9.56% ( -0.18)1-0 @ 9.28% ( 0.15)3-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.72)3-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.12)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.59)4-1 @ 4.5% ( 0.22)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.18)5-0 @ 2.47% ( 0.36)5-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.18)4-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)6-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.17)5-2 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.34% Total : 70.91% | 1-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.38)0-0 @ 3.91% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.13)Other @ 0.13% Total : 17.17% | 1-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.46) 0-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.31)0-2 @ 1.47% ( -0.25)2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.21)1-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.22)Other @ 1.38% Total : 11.91% |
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