SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 58.82%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Loughgall had a probability of 17.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.66%) and 1-2 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Loughgall win it was 1-0 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Loughgall | Draw | Larne |
17.61% ( -4.58) | 23.57% ( -1.91) | 58.82% ( 6.49) |
| Both teams to score 46.01% ( -1.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.75% ( 1.78) | 53.24% ( -1.78) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.19% ( 1.49) | 74.8% ( -1.49) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( -4.03) | 44% ( 4.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( -3.5) | 80.12% ( 3.49) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.15% ( 3.21) | 17.84% ( -3.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.4% ( 5.26) | 48.6% ( -5.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Loughgall | Draw | Larne |
| 1-0 @ 6.45% ( -1.27) 2-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.95)2-0 @ 2.65% ( -0.89)3-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.44)3-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.24)Other @ 1.63% Total : 17.61% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( -0.91) 0-0 @ 7.85% ( -0.57)2-2 @ 3.93% ( -0.37)Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.57% | 0-1 @ 13.53% ( 0.42) 0-2 @ 11.66% ( 1.45)1-2 @ 9.57% ( 0.21)0-3 @ 6.7% ( 1.39)1-3 @ 5.5% ( 0.64)0-4 @ 2.89% ( 0.82)1-4 @ 2.37% ( 0.48)2-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.03)0-5 @ 1% ( 0.35)2-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.1)Other @ 2.38% Total : 58.82% |
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