SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 53.99%. A win for Loughgall had a probability of 23.73% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.57%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Loughgall win was 1-2 (6.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Coleraine | Draw | Loughgall |
53.99% ( 0.1) | 22.28% ( -0.03) | 23.73% ( -0.07) |
| Both teams to score 59.39% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.95% ( 0.07) | 40.05% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.59% ( 0.07) | 62.42% ( -0.07) |
| Coleraine Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( 0.06) | 14.84% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.84% ( 0.11) | 43.16% ( -0.11) |
| Loughgall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.74% ( -0.02) | 30.26% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.58% ( -0.02) | 66.43% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Coleraine | Draw | Loughgall |
| 2-1 @ 9.77% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.57% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.21% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.71% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.96% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.99% | 1-1 @ 10.24% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.48% ( 0)Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.28% | 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.37% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.33% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.98% Total : 23.73% |
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