Sevilla have won their last six La Liga matches against Las Palmas, and it is almost nine years since Los Amarillos triumphed in this fixture. The hosts will enter the match in disappointing form, but we are expecting them to be good enough to secure a share of the spoils against an inconsistent Sevilla on Sunday.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Las Palmas win with a probability of 36.54%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Las Palmas win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8%) and 2-0 (6.46%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (10.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
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