SM
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Current League C4 Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Faroe Islands | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Armenia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | North Macedonia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Latvia | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 27.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Latvia | Draw | North Macedonia |
45.84% ( -1.3) | 27.09% ( -0.2) | 27.08% ( 1.5) |
| Both teams to score 47.44% ( 1.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.72% ( 1.56) | 57.28% ( -1.56) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.88% ( 1.23) | 78.12% ( -1.22) |
| Latvia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.05% ( 0.07) | 24.95% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.42% ( 0.09) | 59.58% ( -0.09) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.21% ( 2.15) | 36.79% ( -2.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.42% ( 2.09) | 73.58% ( -2.08) |
| Score Analysis |
| Latvia | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.51)2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.23)3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.13)4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.56)2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.26)Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.08% | 0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.37)0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.26)1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.24)0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.17)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.17)Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.08% |
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