Nations League | League C

Oct 10, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadions Skonto

Latvia
0 - 3
N. Macedonia

Cigaņiks (43')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Atanasov (35'), Qamili (70'), Elmas (90+3')
Dimoski (61'), Ristovski (81')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Nations League clash between Latvia and North Macedonia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Latvia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: Latvia 1-0 Faroe Islands
Tuesday, September 10 at 5pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

North Macedonia

All competitions

Nations League

Last Game: N. Macedonia 2-0 Armenia
Tuesday, September 10 at 7.45pm in Nations League

Current League C4 Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Faroe Islands	0	0	0
2	Armenia	0	0	0
3	North Macedonia	0	0	0
4	Latvia	0	0	0

We said: Latvia 0-2 North Macedonia

North Macedonia are currently sitting 65 places above their hosts in the FIFA World Rankings, and we think they will showcase their extra quality to record a fourth consecutive head-to-head win after previously beating Latvia in 2014 and twice in 2019. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Latvia win with a probability of 45.84%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for North Macedonia had a probability of 27.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Latvia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.85%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a North Macedonia win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that North Macedonia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	North Macedonia
45.84% ( -1.3)	27.09% ( -0.2)	27.08% ( 1.5)

Both teams to score 47.44% (

1.66)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

1.56)

57.28% (

-1.56)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

1.23)

78.12% (

-1.22)

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.05% (

0.07)

24.95% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.42% (

0.09)

59.58% (

-0.09)

North Macedonia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.21% (

2.15)

36.79% (

-2.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.42% (

2.09)

73.58% (

-2.08)

Score Analysis

Latvia 45.83%

North Macedonia 27.08%

Draw 27.08%

Latvia	Draw	North Macedonia
1-0 @ 12.74% ( -0.75) 2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.51) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.1% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0.13) 4-0 @ 1.42% ( -0.08) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.32% Total : 45.83%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.56) 2-2 @ 4.42% ( 0.26) Other @ 0.74% Total : 27.08%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0.37) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.26) 1-3 @ 2.12% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.17) Other @ 1.81% Total : 27.08%