Although Faroe Islands have experienced relative success under manager Ericson, they could find difficulty on Tuesday given their host's pedigree in the Baltic Cup. Additionally, Latvia will be keen to avoid a fourth-placed finish as it would represent their worst-ever placement in the competition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Faroe Islands win with a probability of 36.06%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Faroe Islands win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.7%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-0 (11.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Latvia would win this match.

Result
Latvia	Draw	Faroe Islands
35.74%	28.2%	36.06%

Both teams to score 47.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.01%

58.99%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.54%

79.46%

Latvia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.6%

31.4%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.23%

67.77%

Faroe Islands Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.8%

31.2%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.46%

67.54%

Score Analysis

Latvia 35.74%

Faroe Islands 36.06%

Draw 28.19%

Latvia	Draw	Faroe Islands
1-0 @ 11.34% 2-1 @ 7.66% 2-0 @ 6.57% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-0 @ 2.54% 3-2 @ 1.72% Other @ 2.95% Total : 35.74%	1-1 @ 13.21% 0-0 @ 9.8% 2-2 @ 4.46% Other @ 0.73% Total : 28.19%	0-1 @ 11.41% 1-2 @ 7.7% 0-2 @ 6.65% 1-3 @ 2.99% 0-3 @ 2.58% 2-3 @ 1.73% Other @ 3% Total : 36.06%