SM
| Current Group E Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Albania | 8 | 8 | 15 |
| 2 | Czech Republic | 8 | 6 | 15 |
| 3 | Poland | 8 | 0 | 11 |
| 4 | Moldova | 8 | -3 | 10 |
| 5 | Faroe Islands | 8 | -11 | 2 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | England | 8 | 18 | 20 |
| 2 | Italy | 8 | 7 | 14 |
| 3 | Ukraine | 8 | 3 | 14 |
| 4 | North Macedonia | 8 | -10 | 8 |
| 5 | Malta | 8 | -18 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a North Macedonia win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 25.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a North Macedonia win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.95%). The likeliest Faroe Islands win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Faroe Islands | Draw | North Macedonia |
25.93% ( -0.48) | 25.78% ( 0.17) | 48.28% ( 0.3) |
| Both teams to score 50.32% ( -0.91) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.89% ( -0.99) | 53.11% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.31% ( -0.85) | 74.69% ( 0.84) |
| Faroe Islands Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.52% ( -0.93) | 35.48% ( 0.93) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.75% ( -0.97) | 72.24% ( 0.97) |
| North Macedonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.99% ( -0.28) | 22.01% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.67% ( -0.42) | 55.33% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Faroe Islands | Draw | North Macedonia |
| 1-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 6.35% ( -0.13)2-0 @ 4.19% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 2.19% ( -0.1)3-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.09)3-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.01% Total : 25.93% | 1-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.3)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.78% | 0-1 @ 11.82% ( 0.36) 1-2 @ 9.27% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 8.95% ( 0.2)1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 2.42% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.03)0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.23% Total : 48.28% |
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