Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Troyes win with a probability of 37.06%. A win for Laval had a probability of 34.94% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Troyes win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.88%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Laval win was 1-0 (10.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Troyes would win this match.
0.06) 
-0.1) 
