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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
CC

Leeds
1 - 1
Coventry

Summerville (58')
Summerville (49'), Meslier (66'), Ampadu (75')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thomas (66')
Simms (66'), Collins (82'), Eccles (88'), Palmer (88'), Sheaf (90+7')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Coventry City

After being kept at bay by Sunderland last time out, we are expecting Leeds to come out firing and hit a couple of goals past Bradley Collins in the Coventry net. The Sky Blues have looked decent on their own patch in the last two matches, but 90 minutes against the Whites and their Elland Road faithful is an entirely different proposition. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 49.39%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 27.39% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.38%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 1-2 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
49.39% (-0.715 -0.71) 23.21% (0.275 0.27) 27.39% (0.441 0.44)
Both teams to score 59.95% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.99% (-0.945 -0.95)41.01% (0.946 0.95)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.6% (-0.97 -0.97)63.4% (0.971 0.97)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.21% (-0.60900000000001 -0.61)16.79% (0.61 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.25% (-1.102 -1.1)46.75% (1.103 1.1)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.05% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)27.95% (0.174 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.42% (-0.224 -0.22)63.58% (0.226 0.23)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 49.39%
    Coventry City 27.39%
    Draw 23.21%
Leeds UnitedDrawCoventry City
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.38% (0.189 0.19)
2-0 @ 7.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.66% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-0 @ 4.44% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.61% (-0.103 -0.1)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.113 -0.11)
4-0 @ 1.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.61% (-0.081 -0.08)
5-1 @ 0.9% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 49.39%
1-1 @ 10.67% (0.19 0.19)
2-2 @ 6.07% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 4.69% (0.199 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.53% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 23.21%
1-2 @ 6.8% (0.088 0.09)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.226 0.23)
0-2 @ 3.81% (0.125 0.13)
1-3 @ 2.89% (0.023 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58% (-0.033 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.62% (0.045 0.05)
1-4 @ 0.92% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 27.39%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Sunderland 1-0 Leeds
Tuesday, December 12 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Leeds
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-1 Swansea
Wednesday, November 29 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 1-1 Leeds
Friday, November 24 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Southampton
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Birmingham
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-1 Coventry
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 1-0 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 0-3 Coventry
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 0-0 Stoke
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Championship


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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