SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 50.44%. A win for Ipswich Town had a probability of 26.7% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.49%). The likeliest Ipswich Town win was 1-2 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
50.44% ( -0.2) | 22.86% ( 0.01) | 26.7% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 60.56% ( 0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.07% ( 0.11) | 39.93% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.7% ( 0.11) | 62.29% ( -0.12) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.98% ( -0.03) | 16.01% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.65% ( -0.05) | 45.34% ( 0.05) |
| Ipswich Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.1% ( 0.19) | 27.89% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.49% ( 0.24) | 63.5% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Ipswich Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.18% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 7.49% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.1% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.71% ( 0)5-1 @ 0.98% ( -0)Other @ 3.59% Total : 50.44% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.7% ( 0)0-2 @ 3.64% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.79% Total : 26.7% |
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