SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 44.81%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.52%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (7.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
44.81% ( 0.13) | 24.19% ( 0.14) | 31% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 58.98% ( -0.62) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.63% ( -0.75) | 43.37% ( 0.76) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.23% ( -0.74) | 65.77% ( 0.75) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.25) | 19.53% ( 0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -0.41) | 51.43% ( 0.41) |
| Monaco Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.54) | 26.71% ( 0.54) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.03% ( -0.72) | 61.97% ( 0.72) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Monaco |
| 2-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.22)2-0 @ 6.96% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.04% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1.55% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 44.81% | 1-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6.06% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 5.22% ( 0.17)3-3 @ 1.45% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 6.89% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.27% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.08% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.13% Total : 31% |
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