Both of these sides will fancy their chances of claiming a positive result on Saturday, and we are expecting a tight contest. It would certainly not be a surprise to see a draw at Stade Louis II, but we just have a feeling that Monaco's quality in the final third will allow them to claim a narrow win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 53.87%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Lens had a probability of 21.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.43%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.78%), while for a Lens win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.

Result
Monaco	Draw	Lens
53.87% ( 1.31)	24.9% ( 0.21)	21.22% ( -1.52)

Both teams to score 47.8% (

-2.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.16% (

-2.35)

53.84% (

2.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.69% (

-2.01)

75.31% (

2.01)

Monaco Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.04% (

-0.4)

19.95% (

0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.88% (

-0.64)

52.11% (

0.64)

Lens Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.72% (

-2.83)

40.28% (

2.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.09% (

-2.67)

76.91% (

2.67)

Score Analysis

Monaco 53.86%

Lens 21.22%

Draw 24.9%

Monaco	Draw	Lens
1-0 @ 12.95% ( 1) 2-0 @ 10.43% ( 0.68) 2-1 @ 9.49% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.3) 3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.11) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.24) 4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.1) 4-1 @ 2.06% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.71% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 11.78% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.71) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0.39) Other @ 0.77% Total : 24.9%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.41) 0-2 @ 3.32% ( -0.21) 1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.23) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.15) Other @ 1.29% Total : 21.22%