SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.15% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.83%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 1-2 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Lens in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lens.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
49.31% ( -0.12) | 23.53% ( -0.05) | 27.15% ( 0.16) |
| Both teams to score 58.61% ( 0.32) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.31% ( 0.36) | 42.68% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.91% ( 0.35) | 65.08% ( -0.36) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.54% ( 0.09) | 17.45% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.08% ( 0.16) | 47.92% ( -0.16) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71% ( 0.3) | 28.99% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.11% ( 0.38) | 64.89% ( -0.38) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 7.71% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 4.49% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.44% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.42% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.86% Total : 49.31% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.08)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 6.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 6.26% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 3.88% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.44% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.41% Total : 27.15% |
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