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Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 2
Aug 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
King Power at Den Dreef Stadion

Leuven
1 - 2
RWDM

Sagrado (18')
Sagrado (21'), Mendyl (31'), Pletinckx (90+4'), Dagur Thorsteinsson (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Biron (44', 48' pen.)
Heris (82')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, July 29 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 0-4 Genk
Saturday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: Leuven 2-0 RWD Molenbeek

OHL should secure a routine win against new boys RWDM, with the visiting side expected to wait for their first points since gaining promotion to the Pro League. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leuven win with a probability of 44.2%. A win for RWD Molenbeek had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leuven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.31%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest RWD Molenbeek win was 1-2 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
LeuvenDrawRWD Molenbeek
44.2% (-1.545 -1.55) 24.14% (0.493 0.49) 31.66% (1.058 1.06)
Both teams to score 59.5% (-1.189 -1.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.17% (-1.801 -1.8)42.83% (1.808 1.81)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.77% (-1.808 -1.81)65.23% (1.816 1.82)
Leuven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.43% (-1.363 -1.36)19.57% (1.369 1.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.5% (-2.275 -2.28)51.5% (2.283 2.28)
RWD Molenbeek Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.98% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)26.02% (0.223 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.94% (-0.296 -0.3)61.06% (0.303 0.3)
Score Analysis
    Leuven 44.2%
    RWD Molenbeek 31.66%
    Draw 24.14%
LeuvenDrawRWD Molenbeek
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-0 @ 8.31% (0.307 0.31)
2-0 @ 6.78% (-0.04 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.96% (-0.284 -0.28)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.187 -0.19)
3-2 @ 3.34% (-0.213 -0.21)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.211 -0.21)
4-0 @ 1.5% (-0.146 -0.15)
4-2 @ 1.36% (-0.152 -0.15)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 44.2%
1-1 @ 11.18% (0.35 0.35)
2-2 @ 6.14% (-0.115 -0.11)
0-0 @ 5.09% (0.397 0.4)
3-3 @ 1.5% (-0.106 -0.11)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.14%
1-2 @ 7.53% (0.184 0.18)
0-1 @ 6.86% (0.494 0.49)
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.305 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.38% (0.062 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.76% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 2.07% (0.124 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 0.93% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 31.66%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Charleroi 1-1 Leuven
Saturday, July 29 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leicester 4-2 Leuven
Wednesday, July 19 at 11am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: Leuven 3-2 Standard Liege
Sunday, April 23 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Oostende 0-4 Leuven
Saturday, April 15 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Leuven 4-1 Mechelen
Saturday, April 8 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Genk 2-1 Leuven
Sunday, April 2 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: RWDM 0-4 Genk
Saturday, July 29 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League


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