While Lille's last home defeat came all the way back in August, Marseille have remained a serious threat on the road throughout the campaign, meaning that Saturday's showdown is destined to be a close-fought battle.
Accordingly, we can see Lille and Marseille serving up an entertaining encounter at the Stade Pierre-Mauroy, with the two sides sharing the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 48.12%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 26.23% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
0.27) 
-0.09) 
