A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Saturday, with both sides feeling that they have the credentials to come away with maximum points. While goals are to be expected at the Stade Velodrome, an entertaining score draw could be on the cards on this occasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Lille had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.24%) and 2-0 (7.59%). The likeliest Lille win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Lille
45.55% ( 0)	24.9% ( 0)	29.55% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 55.76% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.77% (

-0.01)

47.23% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.54% (

-0.01)

69.46% (

0.01)

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.22% (

-0)

20.79% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.57% (

-0)

53.44% (

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.39% (

-0.01)

29.61% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.36% (

-0.01)

65.65% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

Marseille 45.55%

Lille 29.55%

Draw 24.89%

Marseille	Draw	Lille
1-0 @ 9.67% ( 0) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.59% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.84% 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.9% 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.67% Total : 45.55%	1-1 @ 11.76% 0-0 @ 6.15% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.63% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.89%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.56% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 29.55%