Slavia Prague have conceded just twice in seven competitive games this season, so Lille have their work cut out to secure a first-leg lead. The Ligue 1 club should just come out on top against a well-drilled away side, though, leaving this tie tantalisingly poised ahead of next week's return. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 59.67%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for Slavia Prague had a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.69%), while for a Slavia Prague win it was 1-2 (5.24%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.

Result
Lille	Draw	Slavia Prague
59.67%	20.95%	19.38%

Both teams to score 57.55%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.51%

39.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.17%

61.83%

Lille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.1%

12.9%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.69%

39.31%

Slavia Prague Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.08%

33.92%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.4%

70.6%

Score Analysis

Lille 59.67%

Slavia Prague 19.38%

Draw 20.95%

Lille	Draw	Slavia Prague
2-1 @ 9.92% 2-0 @ 9.18% 1-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.77% 3-0 @ 6.27% 3-2 @ 3.66% 4-1 @ 3.47% 4-0 @ 3.21% 4-2 @ 1.88% 5-1 @ 1.42% 5-0 @ 1.31% Other @ 3.63% Total : 59.67%	1-1 @ 9.69% 2-2 @ 5.36% 0-0 @ 4.38% 3-3 @ 1.32% Other @ 0.2% Total : 20.95%	1-2 @ 5.24% 0-1 @ 4.73% 0-2 @ 2.56% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-3 @ 1.89% 0-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.12% Total : 19.38%