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Ligue 1 | Gameweek 30
Apr 21, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stade Pierre-Mauroy
S

Lille
1 - 0
Strasbourg

David (12')
Alexsandro (23'), Fonseca (24'), Santos (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Sow (44'), Diarra (59'), Sylla (90+8')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Lille 2-1 Strasbourg

Lille will look to put European disappointment behind them on Sunday, and three points that would edge them closer to the Champions League would be the perfect way to do that. Strasbourg are in good form as of late, which should lead to a competitive match, but the hosts should ultimately have too much quality. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 60.59%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 17.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (5.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lille in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lille.

Result
LilleDrawStrasbourg
60.59% (0.0049999999999955 0) 21.74%17.67% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 51.62% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.21% (0.0030000000000001 0)45.79% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.89% (0.0019999999999989 0)68.11%
Lille Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.34% (0.0040000000000049 0)14.66% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.2% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)42.8% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Strasbourg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48%39.51% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79%76.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Lille 60.58%
    Strasbourg 17.67%
    Draw 21.74%
LilleDrawStrasbourg
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.92%
3-0 @ 6.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 6.35%
4-0 @ 3.28%
4-1 @ 3.05% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-2 @ 1.41%
5-0 @ 1.26%
5-1 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 60.58%
1-1 @ 10.32%
0-0 @ 5.79%
2-2 @ 4.6%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 21.74%
0-1 @ 5.38% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.48%
2-3 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Aston Villa (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, April 18 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aston Villa 2-1 Lille
Thursday, April 11 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Lille 3-1 Marseille
Friday, April 5 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 2-1 Lens
Friday, March 29 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lille
Sunday, March 17 at 12pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lille 1-1 Sturm Graz
Thursday, March 14 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Strasbourg 3-1 Reims
Saturday, April 13 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Toulouse 0-0 Strasbourg
Sunday, April 7 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Rennes
Sunday, March 31 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-3 Strasbourg
Saturday, March 16 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Strasbourg 0-1 Monaco
Sunday, March 10 at 2pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Montpellier 2-2 Strasbourg
Sunday, March 3 at 2pm in Ligue 1


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