Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 52.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 21.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.32%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 1-0 (7.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
21.89% ( -0.36) | 25.44% ( 0.05) | 52.67% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 47.14% ( -0.57) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.84% ( -0.53) | 55.16% ( 0.54) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.6% ( -0.44) | 76.4% ( 0.44) |
Strasbourg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.65% ( -0.66) | 40.35% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.03% ( -0.6) | 76.97% ( 0.61) |
Lille Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.03% ( -0.09) | 20.97% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.28% ( -0.14) | 53.72% ( 0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Strasbourg | Draw | Lille |
1-0 @ 7.68% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.65% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.3% Total : 21.89% | 1-1 @ 11.99% 0-0 @ 8.46% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 13.21% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 10.32% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.88% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.21% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.1% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.29% Total : 52.66% |
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