Having scored 21 goals across their 11 home league games this season – securing six wins along the way – Lille should cruise to a comfortable victory over relegation-threatened Strasbourg, who have lost five of their past nine away league outings.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 69.92%. A draw had a probability of 18.1% and a win for Strasbourg had a probability of 11.99%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.64%) and 2-1 (9.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.58%), while for a Strasbourg win it was 0-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Lille in this match.
-0.45) 
0.07) 
