SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 39.07%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 35.99% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.13%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 1-2 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Chesterfield |
39.07% ( 0.78) | 24.93% ( -0.11) | 35.99% ( -0.67) |
| Both teams to score 57.93% ( 0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.6% ( 0.43) | 45.4% ( -0.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.26% ( 0.41) | 67.73% ( -0.41) |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.59) | 23.06% ( -0.59) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.86) | 56.89% ( -0.86) |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.18) | 24.7% ( 0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -0.24) | 59.23% ( 0.24) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 2-1 @ 8.57% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 8.36% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 6.13% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.19% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 3% ( 0.1)3-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 39.07% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.99% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.7% ( -0.11)3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.92% | 1-2 @ 8.17% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 7.96% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 3.81% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.79% ( 0)0-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.33% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.87% Total : 35.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
