SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 92.48%. A draw had a probability of 5.7% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 1.85%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 3-0 with a probability of 13.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (12.29%) and 2-0 (11.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (2.7%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (0.74%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
92.48% ( 0.03) | 5.67% ( -0.02) | 1.85% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 35.19% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.12) | 22.28% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 58.72% ( 0.16) | 41.28% ( -0.15) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 97.43% ( 0.03) | 2.58% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 88% ( 0.07) | 12% ( -0.07) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 36.12% ( 0.07) | 63.89% ( -0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 7.49% ( 0.03) | 92.51% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 3-0 @ 13.43% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 12.29% 2-0 @ 11.01% ( -0.05)5-0 @ 9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 6.02% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 6.02% 4-1 @ 5.51% ( 0.01)6-0 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 4.03% ( 0.02)7-0 @ 2.87% ( 0.02)6-1 @ 2.46% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.35% ( 0)8-0 @ 1.31% ( 0.01)7-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.34% Total : 92.47% | 1-1 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.22% Total : 5.67% | Other @ 1.85% Total : 1.85% |
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