SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 85.1%. A draw had a probability of 10.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 4.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.74%) and 1-0 (10.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.06%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.81%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
85.1% ( -0.05) | 10.8% ( 0.03) | 4.11% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 35.91% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.72% ( -0.05) | 36.28% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.05) | 58.4% ( 0.05) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.93% ( -0.02) | 6.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.92% ( -0.05) | 23.08% ( 0.05) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 38.23% ( 0.04) | 61.78% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 8.47% ( 0.02) | 91.53% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 14.71% 3-0 @ 13.74% ( -0.01)1-0 @ 10.5% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 9.63% ( -0.02)2-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.62% ( 0)5-0 @ 5.4% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 4.64% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.6% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 2.52% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.6% ( 0)6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0)7-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 85.08% | 1-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 1.71% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.28% Total : 10.8% | 0-1 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.08% Total : 4.11% |
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