Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 89.6%. A draw had a probability of 7.8% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 2.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 3-0 with a probability of 14.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.58%) and 4-0 (11.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.67%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (1.15%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 14.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Larne in this match.
-0.04) 
0.03) 
