SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 75.66%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Newry City AFC had a probability of 9.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.01%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.19%), while for a Newry City AFC win it was 0-1 (2.85%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Linfield would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
75.66% ( -1.57) | 15.21% ( 0.79) | 9.12% ( 0.78) |
| Both teams to score 49.1% ( 0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.84% ( -1.19) | 36.16% ( 1.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.72% ( -1.32) | 58.28% ( 1.32) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 92% ( -0.61) | 8% ( 0.6) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.8% ( -1.55) | 28.2% ( 1.55) |
| Newry City AFC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.37% ( 0.89) | 46.63% ( -0.89) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.79% ( 0.67) | 82.21% ( -0.67) |
| Score Analysis |
| Linfield | Draw | Newry City AFC |
| 2-0 @ 11.89% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.33)1-0 @ 9.42% ( 0.27)2-1 @ 9.08% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 6.33% ( -0.41)4-1 @ 4.83% ( -0.19)5-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.31)3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.05)5-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.17)4-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.02)6-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.18)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.11)5-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.76% Total : 75.65% | 1-1 @ 7.19% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 3.73% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.16)Other @ 0.84% Total : 15.21% | 0-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.23) 1-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.21)0-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.45% Total : 9.12% |
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