Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 47.16%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.29%) and 2-1 (8.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Raith Rovers win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
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