SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
39.66% ( 0.56) | 27.94% ( -0.05) | 32.41% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.63% ( 0.11) | 58.37% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.02% ( 0.09) | 78.98% ( -0.09) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.28% ( 0.38) | 28.72% ( -0.38) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.45% ( 0.47) | 64.56% ( -0.47) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.69% ( -0.29) | 33.31% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.08% ( -0.33) | 69.93% ( 0.33) |
| Score Analysis |
| Greenock Morton | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.13)3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.07)3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.65% | 1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.93% | 0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.07)0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05)0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.4% |
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