Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 32.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.18%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.

Result
Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
39.66% ( 0.56)	27.94% ( -0.05)	32.41% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 47.54% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.63% (

0.11)

58.37% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.02% (

0.09)

78.98% (

-0.09)

Greenock Morton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.28% (

0.38)

28.72% (

-0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.45% (

0.47)

64.56% (

-0.47)

Raith Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.69% (

-0.29)

33.31% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.08% (

-0.33)

69.93% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Greenock Morton 39.65%

Raith Rovers 32.4%

Draw 27.93%

Greenock Morton	Draw	Raith Rovers
1-0 @ 11.93% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 1.87% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.7% Total : 39.65%	1-1 @ 13.12% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.93%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( -0.13) 1-2 @ 7.21% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 5.78% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 32.4%