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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 39.09%. A win for Dunfermline Athletic had a probability of 33.73% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.3%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Dunfermline Athletic win was 1-0 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
33.73% ( -0.52) | 27.18% ( -0.02) | 39.09% ( 0.54) |
| Both teams to score 50.09% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.71% ( 0.02) | 55.29% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.49% ( 0.01) | 76.51% ( -0.01) |
| Dunfermline Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( -0.33) | 30.84% ( 0.33) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( -0.39) | 67.11% ( 0.39) |
| Raith Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.42% ( 0.31) | 27.57% ( -0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( 0.4) | 63.1% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Dunfermline Athletic | Draw | Raith Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 10% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 7.58% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 5.88% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 2.97% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 1.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.07% Total : 33.73% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.17% | 0-1 @ 10.95% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 7.06% ( 0.12)1-3 @ 3.57% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.96% Total : 39.09% |
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